📈 Alpha Trade Flow · NIFTY 50 forecast with Chronos-Bolt

Zero-shot probabilistic forecasts from amazon/chronos-bolt-small on daily NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) closes. Recomputed every weekday after the NSE close.

⚠️ Educational demo only, not investment advice. Forecasts come from a general-purpose time-series model with no market-specific training. Past accuracy does not predict future results. Paper trading only. Never trade real money on this.

Forecast

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Context length (trading days) Horizon (trading days) History shown

Forecast dates are approximate business days and don't skip NSE holidays.

Backtest · walk-forward holdout

For each of the last N trading days, the model forecast using only earlier closes, then was scored on the close horizon days later. The baseline assumes "no change" from the last known close.

Context length Horizon Holdout window N

Market prices are close to a random walk, so beating "no change" is hard. Treat any small edge as noise.